Monday, December 15, 2008

TODAY our President will be Elected

I'm a strong opponent of our moving to a national direct election system -- countrywide popular vote winner-take-all presidential election. I've given the reasons in detail in other posts so I won't go into that at length. Suffice it to say that doing so would actually make our votes worth LESS than the value they hold now. But what if we stuck with the electoral college system of voting, but allocated votes differently? Under the proposal below, voters in Austin would be relevant to the Texas presidential vote. Right now Texas is a safe GOP state, so even though the Austin area might vote heavily Democratic, their votes are overwhelmed by the GOP votes across the rest of the state. By allocating electors district by district those votes count, both statewide and nationally. And by giving 2 electoral votes to the candidate that wins the popular vote in the state you insure that the concerns of the top 10 population centers aren't the only issues candidates must address. Read the op-ed and tell me what you think.

A Ballot Buddy System

By RANDALL LANE
Published: December 15, 2008

THE 2008 presidential election actually ends today, when the people whose votes truly count, the 538 electors chosen by voters to reflect their candidate preference, convene in each state to cast their ballots. The result might lack drama — 365 electoral votes for Barack Obama, 173 for John McCain — but when a high school biology teacher named William Forsee walks into Nebraska’s Capitol in Lincoln this afternoon, some history will be made.

Nebraska went for John McCain by 15 percentage points. Yet Mr. Forsee, a resident of Bellevue, just outside Omaha, will cast his electoral vote for Mr. Obama — the first time since 1892 that any state has chosen to split its slate.

Nebraska and Maine are the only two states that now apportion some of their electoral votes by Congressional district rather than give them all to the statewide winner. (Mr. Obama won all four of Maine’s electoral votes.) It explains why both Sarah Palin and Hillary Clinton campaigned in Omaha during the closing weeks of this year’s campaign.

Election theorists talk nobly of moving America’s presidential election to a popular vote, but that would require a Constitutional amendment. Swing states would never pass it, because it would mean giving up their influence. Neither would small states, which have a disproportionate influence in the Electoral College. But if every state apportioned its electoral votes as Maine and Nebraska do — one for each Congressional district, plus two for the overall state winner — millions more voters would suddenly become worthy of the candidates’ attention.

What’s stopping the safe states from making themselves more politically relevant? The understandable reluctance of one party to unilaterally improve the presidential prospects of the other. A failed initiative in California earlier this year to move to district-based apportionment was denounced for what it was — an attempt by Republicans to siphon off sure Democratic electoral votes under the guise of election reform.

But here’s a bipartisan solution: an electoral vote buddy system. Red and blue states of similar size should pair up and pass state laws to apportion their electoral votes by district.

It would seem counterintuitive for a Democratic legislature in New York to cede a portion of its sure 31 Democratic electoral votes, but not if it opens up some of Texas’ 34 votes for the party. Washington State could make its 11 electoral votes relevant, in tandem with Tennessee, which also has 11. In this past election, voters in Louisiana (nine electoral votes) and Mississippi (six) could have focused the candidates’ views on Hurricane Katrina rebuilding had they buddied with New Jersey, which has 15 electoral votes. That might have also yielded more debate about urban transportation issues.

Imagine how different the campaign would have looked if Mr. Obama, rather than making repeat visits to Denver and Dayton, Ohio, had stopped in San Antonio and Houston, while Mr. McCain held rallies in areas of relative Republican strength in New York like Dutchess County and Staten Island.

As most of the electors now cast votes that were ceded by the other party well before the Iowa caucuses, perhaps their state legislatures will take notice of Nebraska’s William Forsee, whose ballot was never taken for granted, and start looking around for a buddy.

Randall Lane, the former Washington bureau chief for Forbes, is the editor in chief of Doubledown Media.

4 Comments:

Blogger Kurt said...

and you thought the battles over re-districting were tough NOW? imagine the court battles that will accompany every states' attempt to redraw the lines following the census....
i like this idea, but am of the opinion that, as with most things, there are unforeseen consequences to this action. I wonder what they would be.

12:56 PM  
Blogger Wake of the Flood said...

You named one of the problems; gerrymandered districts. I read about one state's solution to that problem but can't remember the details. In effect they took the power to shape a district to protect one party over another away from the legislature. The lines were drawn via some pretty neutral and objective method that I can't remember. The state legislature could only approve the process before the lines were drawn.

7:00 PM  
Blogger Kurt said...

yesterday, on All Things Considered there was a story about a way that smaller states are working to circumvent the need to amend the Constitution to eliminate the Electoral College. What these states are doing is passing laws which will award their electors' votes to the winner of the national popular vote. The laws will go into effect when and if the number of states' electors for those who have passed such legislation is equal to or greater than the number of electors needed to win the Electoral College.
Initiated by Democrats angered over the outcome of the 2000 election, the story indicated that more GOP persons are supporting it following this past vote. boo.

2:25 PM  
Blogger Wake of the Flood said...

I've read and heard quite a bit about this, and think it's a very, very bad idea. People think the electoral college system is just some old anachronism that is all about not trusting the people to make proper choices. In other words, an elitist mechanism to circumvent the popular will. They don't understand that it really serves as an incredible part of our system of checks and balances that guards the rights of the minority against the tyranny of the majority.

8:59 AM  

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